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2025-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 48.6% 51.4% -
Bradley-Terry 27.9% 72.1% -
Margin 21.3% 78.7% +7.2 (6.8 off)
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% -
Efficiency 21.9% 78.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.8% 77.2% -
Log Adjusted 22.7% 77.3% -
Points Off/Def 27.0% 73.0% -

Actual: New York Knicks +14 (112-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 35 7-15 2-3 2-2 5 5 0 4 18 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 31 7-12 3-6 5-6 3 5 1 1 22 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 30 4-6 0-0 0-0 10 3 1 0 8 - -
RJ Barrett * 28 7-15 1-4 1-2 5 2 1 1 16 - -
Gradey Dick * 20 1-6 1-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 - -
Ja'Kobe Walter 21 0-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 - -
Bruce Brown 21 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Kelly Olynyk 17 3-4 0-1 1-1 4 0 1 0 7 - -
Jamal Shead 16 1-3 1-2 1-2 0 4 0 0 4 - -
Ochai Agbaji 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 - -
Garrett Temple 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 2 1 0 2 - -
Chris Boucher 3 4-4 2-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 10 - -
Davion Mitchell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Hart * 38 9-14 2-5 1-2 11 7 1 0 21 - -
OG Anunoby * 37 8-13 4-6 7-8 2 0 2 1 27 - -
Mikal Bridges * 35 4-18 2-11 0-0 3 3 1 0 10 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 34 9-14 3-3 6-6 13 2 3 2 27 - -
Jalen Brunson * 34 5-13 1-4 2-4 6 7 1 0 13 - -
Landry Shamet 21 4-8 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Precious Achiuwa 15 3-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 6 - -
Cameron Payne 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 - -
Jericho Sims 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Jacob Toppin 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Tyler Kolek 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Matt Ryan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter