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2025-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 35.0% 65.0% +3.4 (12.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 33.3% 66.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.2% 67.8% -
Log Adjusted 32.1% 67.9% -
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +16 (129-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 34 12-20 2-6 5-6 4 4 0 1 31 - -
Coby White * 31 8-17 3-10 0-1 2 5 0 0 19 - -
Nikola Vučević * 26 5-9 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 2 10 - -
Josh Giddey * 21 4-7 1-2 0-0 5 5 1 0 9 - -
Patrick Williams * 21 0-5 0-3 2-4 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Lonzo Ball 19 2-6 1-5 0-0 3 1 2 1 5 - -
Jalen Smith 16 4-4 2-2 3-3 7 3 0 1 13 - -
Julian Phillips 14 2-4 1-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Chris Duarte 14 2-5 1-2 0-0 3 3 0 0 5 - -
Matas Buzelis 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 10 3-4 1-1 1-1 0 0 1 0 8 - -
Dalen Terry 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -
Jevon Carter 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Nembhard * 31 5-11 0-3 4-5 6 5 2 0 14 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 30 7-13 2-3 0-0 3 13 2 0 16 - -
Pascal Siakam * 28 11-17 3-7 1-3 6 3 0 0 26 - -
Thomas Bryant * 27 9-16 2-4 2-2 8 1 2 0 22 - -
Bennedict Mathurin * 24 3-12 0-4 2-2 3 4 1 0 8 - -
Obi Toppin 23 5-9 1-4 1-2 5 2 0 0 12 - -
Ben Sheppard 20 3-5 1-2 0-0 7 0 0 0 7 - -
Jarace Walker 19 5-7 1-2 1-3 2 3 1 1 12 - -
Enrique Freeman 16 2-3 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 0 6 - -
T.J. McConnell 16 2-7 0-0 2-3 2 5 3 0 6 - -
Quenton Jackson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Johnny Furphy 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter