Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.4% | 39.6% | -2.3 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -12 (106-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 38 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 37 | 11-23 | 1-9 | 6-6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 29 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 34 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 33 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 32 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 19 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 17 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Neemias Queta | 7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaden Springer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 39 | 8-17 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 35 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 33 | 9-18 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 28 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dario Šarić * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 33 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 26 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Trey Alexander | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter