Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.9% | 56.1% | +1.3 | ✓ (19.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +21 (118-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 35 | 7-18 | 0-2 | 7-9 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 32 | 5-14 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Max Christie * | 30 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith | 28 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 24 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dalton Knecht | 15 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - | - | |
| Bronny James | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 39 | 9-14 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 35 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 28 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 28 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 29 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 29 | 8-17 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 22 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter