Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.5% | 6.5% | -14.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -23 (112-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 41 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 38 | 7-15 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 30 | 10-22 | 7-15 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 29 | 12-23 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 18 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 23 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 17 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nate Williams | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlton Carrington * | 34 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bilal Coulibaly * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kyshawn George * | 27 | 4-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alexandre Sarr * | 23 | 1-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 16 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Corey Kispert | 32 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valančiūnas | 21 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jared Butler | 21 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Justin Champagnie | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Richaun Holmes | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter