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2025-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 75.2% 24.8% -
Bradley-Terry 66.4% 33.6% -
Margin 63.9% 36.1% -3.1 (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 57.2% 42.8% -
Efficiency 66.8% 33.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.5% 32.5% -
Log Adjusted 67.5% 32.5% -
Points Off/Def 57.1% 42.9% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +11 (115-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 38 14-25 2-8 9-9 6 10 0 0 39 - -
Kevin Durant * 36 8-18 1-6 9-10 6 2 0 1 26 - -
Ryan Dunn * 25 3-8 0-4 0-0 4 0 0 1 6 - -
Tyus Jones * 21 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 4 0 0 4 - -
Mason Plumlee * 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 12 2 1 0 0 - -
Bradley Beal 30 5-13 0-2 0-0 0 5 0 0 10 - -
Grayson Allen 25 3-7 3-6 0-0 3 0 1 1 9 - -
Jusuf Nurkić 18 3-6 2-3 0-0 3 3 1 1 8 - -
Monté Morris 15 1-5 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Oso Ighodaro 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Josh Okogie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 36 8-17 2-5 3-3 7 3 2 0 21 - -
LaMelo Ball * 35 12-28 5-16 3-5 10 7 4 0 32 - -
Brandon Miller * 32 5-16 3-12 0-0 3 2 1 1 13 - -
Mark Williams * 21 2-7 0-0 5-5 10 3 0 0 9 - -
Josh Green * 12 1-3 1-2 2-2 6 0 1 0 5 - -
Cody Martin 28 1-5 0-2 2-2 5 3 1 1 4 - -
Nick Richards 25 4-6 0-0 7-8 12 0 0 3 15 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 21 3-8 2-6 0-0 4 3 0 0 8 - -
Vasilije Micić 14 1-5 0-2 2-2 0 2 0 0 4 - -
Tidjane Salaün 11 1-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter