Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.7% | 70.3% | +4.7 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +15 (119-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dereck Lively II * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 32 | 5-15 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 31 | 7-22 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 26 | 5-16 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 29 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 26 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 21 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 34 | 13-23 | 1-2 | 8-12 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Wells * | 34 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 10-11 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. * | 28 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| John Konchar * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zach Edey * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 27 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jay Huff | 27 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Luke Kennard | 24 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cam Spencer | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Yuki Kawamura | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter