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2025-01-07

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 63.7% 36.3% -
Bradley-Terry 47.3% 52.7% -
Margin 52.2% 47.8% -0.5 (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -
Efficiency 42.7% 57.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.2% 55.8% -
Log Adjusted 44.3% 55.7% -
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +4 (114-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Wembanyama * 34 9-22 4-11 1-2 14 4 0 8 23 - -
Devin Vassell * 33 5-14 1-7 0-0 4 5 2 3 11 - -
Chris Paul * 32 7-13 2-6 2-2 6 9 0 0 18 - -
Harrison Barnes * 29 3-8 1-4 3-4 4 2 1 0 10 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 26 5-7 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 1 11 - -
Keldon Johnson 21 5-10 1-4 0-2 3 1 1 0 11 - -
Stephon Castle 18 4-9 1-2 1-2 1 6 1 0 10 - -
Julian Champagnie 16 4-9 4-9 0-0 4 0 0 0 12 - -
Charles Bassey 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -
Tre Jones 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 39 13-25 3-6 6-7 10 8 1 0 35 - -
Coby White * 36 9-18 3-6 2-2 2 4 4 0 23 - -
Patrick Williams * 34 4-7 3-5 1-2 1 3 1 1 12 - -
Nikola Vučević * 33 10-22 2-9 2-2 11 3 1 0 24 - -
Josh Giddey * 31 3-12 0-2 0-0 7 3 2 1 6 - -
Lonzo Ball 24 2-4 1-3 0-0 4 2 3 0 5 - -
Jalen Smith 14 3-11 1-6 2-2 8 1 0 0 9 - -
Matas Buzelis 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 - -
Julian Phillips 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalen Terry 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter