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2025-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 31.7% 68.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% - ✓
Margin 51.9% 48.1% -0.4 ✓ (23.6 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% - ✓
Efficiency 65.3% 34.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 65.0% 35.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 65.1% 34.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 56.4% 43.6% - ✓

Actual: Toronto Raptors -24 (104-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Taurean Prince * 31 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 4 3 1 8 - -
Brook Lopez * 31 6-10 4-8 0-0 4 4 1 2 16 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 28 5-8 0-1 1-2 12 13 0 0 11 - -
Damian Lillard * 25 7-12 5-8 6-7 5 3 0 0 25 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. * 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 3 5 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 23 6-9 3-5 2-2 3 1 3 0 17 - -
Bobby Portis 22 8-12 4-6 0-0 7 3 0 0 20 - -
Ryan Rollins 18 4-8 0-2 2-2 4 3 0 0 10 - -
AJ Green 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 5 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -
Pat Connaughton 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Liam Robbins 6 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 - -
Stanley Umude 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Delon Wright 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 32 11-18 2-5 1-4 9 5 1 0 25 - -
Scottie Barnes * 32 10-18 0-4 1-2 2 5 2 1 21 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 31 6-9 0-0 0-1 7 1 1 1 12 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 29 3-10 1-5 4-4 1 3 2 0 11 - -
Gradey Dick * 27 3-12 3-9 2-2 3 3 0 1 11 - -
Ochai Agbaji 24 1-5 0-4 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 - -
Jamal Shead 18 1-6 0-2 1-2 2 6 2 0 3 - -
Bruce Brown 16 1-3 0-1 1-1 3 0 1 0 3 - -
Ja'Kobe Walter 11 3-5 2-3 0-1 2 1 0 0 8 - -
Kelly Olynyk 10 1-4 0-1 1-2 1 2 1 0 3 - -
Jonathan Mogbo 6 1-1 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter