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2025-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 32.4% 67.6% -
Bradley-Terry 31.0% 69.0% -
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.2 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.9% 58.1% -
Efficiency 32.3% 67.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.5% 66.5% -
Log Adjusted 33.5% 66.5% -
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +3 (118-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shaedon Sharpe * 43 8-17 3-7 1-1 8 8 2 1 20 - -
Anfernee Simons * 36 14-21 8-12 0-0 2 9 0 0 36 - -
Toumani Camara * 36 5-8 2-5 0-1 3 1 3 1 12 - -
Deandre Ayton * 34 9-16 0-1 0-0 11 4 0 1 18 - -
Deni Avdija * 29 6-13 1-5 1-1 4 3 1 0 14 - -
Kris Murray 27 4-7 2-3 1-1 4 3 0 1 11 - -
Scoot Henderson 19 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 - -
Donovan Clingan 13 2-6 0-1 0-1 5 1 0 0 4 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 38 11-23 4-10 6-6 6 9 2 0 32 - -
Tobias Harris * 37 5-8 2-3 5-5 5 3 1 0 17 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 32 10-15 6-9 0-0 0 0 0 0 26 - -
Malik Beasley * 28 1-10 1-9 2-4 3 1 2 0 5 - -
Jalen Duren * 27 7-11 0-0 0-0 12 4 0 0 14 - -
Simone Fontecchio 21 3-8 2-5 2-3 6 0 1 0 10 - -
Marcus Sasser 15 1-6 0-3 2-2 3 5 1 1 4 - -
Ronald Holland II 14 3-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 2 1 8 - -
Isaiah Stewart 14 1-7 0-3 0-0 6 0 0 2 2 - -
Paul Reed 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter