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2025-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 18.4% 81.6% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 27.8% 72.2% - βœ—
Margin 18.5% 81.5% +8.2 βœ— (38.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% - βœ—
Efficiency 33.3% 66.7% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 33.5% 66.5% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 33.5% 66.5% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% - βœ—

Actual: Golden State Warriors -30 (99-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 31 5-14 0-4 2-2 0 1 1 0 12 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 29 10-13 1-2 1-2 13 7 0 0 22 - -
Malik Monk * 29 9-14 5-8 3-3 3 12 4 1 26 - -
Keegan Murray * 26 4-11 3-8 0-0 4 2 1 1 11 - -
Keon Ellis * 24 3-7 1-3 4-4 1 2 2 0 11 - -
Trey Lyles 24 1-3 1-2 4-4 9 1 2 0 7 - -
Devin Carter 23 4-11 2-7 3-4 7 2 1 0 13 - -
Kevin Huerter 19 5-7 4-6 2-2 1 0 2 0 16 - -
Alex Len 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 - -
Doug McDermott 6 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -
Orlando Robinson 6 1-2 0-0 1-1 2 0 1 0 3 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 29 8-12 4-8 6-6 7 0 1 0 26 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 26 7-13 1-3 3-4 4 1 0 0 18 - -
Draymond Green * 25 4-8 2-4 0-0 4 4 2 1 10 - -
Dennis SchrΓΆder * 20 1-7 0-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 3 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 - -
Moses Moody 26 5-10 3-6 0-0 1 2 2 0 13 - -
Lindy Waters III 19 2-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Buddy Hield 18 3-7 1-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 7 - -
Kyle Anderson 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 1 2 - -
Kevon Looney 15 4-7 0-0 1-2 5 0 2 1 9 - -
Gui Santos 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -
Pat Spencer 12 1-4 0-1 2-4 1 4 1 0 4 - -

* = starter