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2025-01-06

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 30.3% 69.7% -
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% -
Margin 20.3% 79.7% +7.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -
Efficiency 30.7% 69.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.0% 68.0% -
Log Adjusted 31.9% 68.1% -
Points Off/Def 33.2% 66.8% -

Actual: Houston Rockets +4 (119-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 41 6-13 3-6 6-7 0 10 0 0 21 - -
Anthony Davis * 38 10-18 2-4 8-8 13 2 0 5 30 - -
Max Christie * 38 4-8 2-5 4-4 6 2 1 0 14 - -
LeBron James * 36 8-16 4-7 1-2 13 9 1 0 21 - -
Rui Hachimura * 28 5-9 3-6 0-2 1 0 0 0 13 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith 25 5-9 2-6 1-1 2 2 2 0 13 - -
Dalton Knecht 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jaxson Hayes 5 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Shake Milton 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Cam Reddish 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 42 5-12 3-8 2-3 2 2 1 1 15 - -
Amen Thompson * 40 11-19 0-3 1-4 16 3 1 0 23 - -
Dillon Brooks * 32 2-8 1-4 0-0 5 3 0 0 5 - -
Jalen Green * 32 12-24 5-12 4-4 6 4 0 1 33 - -
Alperen Sengun * 31 6-14 0-2 2-4 6 4 0 0 14 - -
Steven Adams 16 3-4 0-0 2-4 9 1 1 1 8 - -
Cam Whitmore 16 3-8 2-5 0-0 4 0 0 1 8 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 15 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 6 - -
Aaron Holiday 12 3-7 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 7 - -

* = starter