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2025-01-05

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 46.1% 53.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% - ✗
Margin 56.4% 43.6% -1.4 ✓ (10.6 off)
Pythagorean 52.8% 47.2% - ✓
Efficiency 57.1% 42.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 58.7% 41.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 58.7% 41.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 51.4% 48.6% - ✓

Actual: Washington Wizards -12 (98-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Herbert Jones * 37 4-8 1-4 2-2 4 1 2 2 11 - -
CJ McCollum * 35 9-18 6-11 1-2 3 3 0 1 25 - -
Dejounte Murray * 35 5-14 1-5 3-4 10 12 0 0 14 - -
Yves Missi * 32 4-5 0-0 8-8 7 1 1 3 16 - -
Trey Murphy III * 29 8-19 4-10 2-2 8 2 2 1 22 - -
Brandon Boston 18 1-7 1-4 2-2 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Daniel Theis 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 7 2 1 1 5 - -
Jose Alvarado 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 3 1 0 3 - -
Jordan Hawkins 12 2-10 2-7 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Carlton Carrington * 33 6-9 4-7 0-0 7 4 1 0 16 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 30 13-23 2-5 0-0 5 1 2 1 28 - -
Alexandre Sarr * 28 6-9 3-6 3-5 11 3 0 0 18 - -
Justin Champagnie * 27 1-6 1-4 0-0 5 4 0 1 3 - -
Malcolm Brogdon * 14 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 5 0 0 4 - -
Corey Kispert 26 1-10 0-7 3-3 1 0 0 1 5 - -
Kyshawn George 26 0-7 0-6 1-1 3 1 1 0 1 - -
Jonas Valančiūnas 19 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 1 6 - -
Jared Butler 19 6-12 1-3 4-5 4 5 1 0 17 - -
Anthony Gill 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Johnny Davis 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter