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2025-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 18.8% 81.2% -
Bradley-Terry 13.0% 87.0% -
Margin 8.0% 92.0% +13.4 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 25.6% 74.4% -
Efficiency 4.1% 95.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.1% 93.9% -
Log Adjusted 6.0% 94.0% -
Points Off/Def 13.7% 86.3% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +10 (115-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LaMelo Ball * 33 7-20 3-11 7-9 3 4 0 0 24 - -
Brandon Miller * 31 8-14 6-10 2-3 2 2 0 1 24 - -
Mark Williams * 28 4-7 0-0 3-3 9 1 1 1 11 - -
Miles Bridges * 26 5-14 1-6 0-0 8 3 1 0 11 - -
Josh Green * 22 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 - -
Tidjane Salaün 22 2-8 1-5 1-2 9 1 1 0 6 - -
Cody Martin 21 4-5 0-0 0-0 6 5 4 0 8 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 19 7-12 4-6 0-0 5 2 0 1 18 - -
KJ Simpson 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Nick Richards 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Taj Gibson 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 1 - -
Vasilije Micić 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 31 6-13 1-6 4-5 5 1 1 2 17 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 29 8-16 3-7 0-0 3 4 0 0 19 - -
Darius Garland * 29 8-14 4-7 5-5 3 2 1 0 25 - -
Jarrett Allen * 28 9-10 0-0 1-2 11 2 0 2 19 - -
Dean Wade * 21 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 0 6 - -
Caris LeVert 24 1-6 0-3 0-0 5 6 1 0 2 - -
Max Strus 24 3-9 1-5 2-2 3 4 0 1 9 - -
Ty Jerome 20 3-10 2-5 0-0 4 5 2 0 8 - -
Georges Niang 18 4-7 2-5 0-0 2 3 0 0 10 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Tristan Thompson 3 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 - -
JT Thor 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jaylon Tyson 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter