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2025-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks LA Clippers Spread Result
Elo 26.2% 73.8% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% - βœ“
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 βœ“ (19.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.7% 60.3% - βœ“
Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 25.7% 74.3% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 25.7% 74.3% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 29.4% 70.6% - βœ“

Actual: LA Clippers +26 (131-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 33 7-16 4-9 2-3 4 14 1 0 20 - -
Dyson Daniels * 29 5-10 0-1 1-2 3 1 3 1 11 - -
Vít Krejčí * 28 3-8 3-6 0-0 2 2 1 0 9 - -
Zaccharie Risacher * 28 5-11 1-4 2-2 5 3 1 0 13 - -
Clint Capela * 18 3-5 0-0 0-2 7 1 1 1 6 - -
De'Andre Hunter 28 6-16 4-11 2-2 3 2 1 0 18 - -
Garrison Mathews 25 4-10 4-10 3-3 8 3 1 0 15 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 24 2-7 0-3 0-0 8 2 0 1 4 - -
David Roddy 17 3-4 0-1 3-3 3 2 2 1 9 - -
Dominick Barlow 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ivica Zubac * 31 9-11 0-0 0-1 18 4 0 1 18 - -
Norman Powell * 29 8-16 4-10 0-0 4 1 2 0 20 - -
James Harden * 29 3-9 1-5 3-4 2 15 2 0 10 - -
Kawhi Leonard * 19 4-11 3-5 1-3 3 1 1 0 12 - -
Kris Dunn * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 - -
Amir Coffey 29 5-14 3-8 4-4 4 2 0 0 17 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 21 6-11 0-3 0-0 3 0 3 0 12 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 18 6-7 0-0 3-4 3 7 2 0 15 - -
Terance Mann 16 5-5 2-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 12 - -
Nicolas Batum 11 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 - -
Bones Hyland 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Miller 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 2 0 2 - -
Kobe Brown 5 2-2 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 0 5 - -
Kai Jones 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter