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2025-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 16.9% 83.1% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.9% 64.1% - βœ“
Margin 35.7% 64.3% +3.2 βœ“ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% - βœ“
Efficiency 46.1% 53.9% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 45.4% 54.6% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 45.4% 54.6% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 42.6% 57.4% - βœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors +8 (121-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 36 11-21 0-3 1-1 9 2 2 1 23 - -
Desmond Bane * 35 9-20 2-8 2-2 4 10 2 1 22 - -
Jaylen Wells * 35 4-13 0-5 0-0 6 4 2 0 8 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. * 26 4-9 3-4 1-2 5 1 2 1 12 - -
Zach Edey * 20 2-2 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 0 5 - -
Jake LaRavia 32 5-8 1-2 6-8 4 10 0 0 17 - -
Brandon Clarke 26 5-7 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 10 - -
Jay Huff 15 3-4 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 3 9 - -
Cam Spencer 12 3-4 0-1 1-1 1 1 0 0 7 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 36 9-17 3-10 3-3 2 3 4 0 24 - -
Dennis SchrΓΆder * 35 6-15 3-6 2-4 3 9 1 0 17 - -
Draymond Green * 30 3-7 3-6 0-0 2 3 2 1 9 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 27 5-13 0-0 1-1 9 5 3 0 11 - -
Buddy Hield * 23 5-9 4-7 0-0 2 3 0 0 14 - -
Lindy Waters III 27 6-7 4-5 0-0 3 2 1 1 16 - -
Kyle Anderson 21 3-5 1-3 0-1 3 3 1 2 7 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 15 4-6 3-3 2-4 2 2 0 0 13 - -
Pat Spencer 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 2 - -
Moses Moody 8 2-3 2-3 2-3 0 0 0 0 8 - -

* = starter