Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.9% | 43.1% | -1.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -11 (111-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 46 | 9-17 | 4-9 | 6-7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 43 | 19-35 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 46 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 6-17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 36 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 33 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 25 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama * | 39 | 7-19 | 2-12 | 4-4 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 20 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 38 | 8-20 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 32 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 31 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 27 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 22 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 18 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle | 15 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 10 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter