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2025-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 61.7% 38.3% -
Bradley-Terry 38.0% 62.0% -
Margin 34.3% 65.7% +3.6 (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% -
Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.9% 64.1% -
Log Adjusted 35.9% 64.1% -
Points Off/Def 35.2% 64.8% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -3 (102-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deni Avdija * 42 7-14 3-8 2-2 14 4 3 0 19 - -
Anfernee Simons * 40 9-20 5-12 5-5 3 8 0 0 28 - -
Deandre Ayton * 34 5-9 0-1 0-1 13 0 1 1 10 - -
Toumani Camara * 33 6-11 2-4 1-1 6 2 1 0 15 - -
Shaedon Sharpe * 31 7-15 2-7 0-2 4 3 1 0 16 - -
Scoot Henderson 23 3-5 1-2 2-2 7 3 1 1 9 - -
Kris Murray 20 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Donovan Clingan 13 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 4 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 38 14-27 0-1 3-4 11 2 2 2 31 - -
Damian Lillard * 36 5-15 2-7 4-5 2 6 4 0 16 - -
Khris Middleton * 25 1-5 0-3 0-0 7 3 0 0 2 - -
Brook Lopez * 23 2-9 1-6 0-0 6 0 1 1 5 - -
Andre Jackson Jr. * 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 6 - -
AJ Green 30 7-13 7-13 0-0 2 3 1 0 21 - -
Bobby Portis 25 4-11 1-4 0-0 7 1 3 0 9 - -
Taurean Prince 22 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 5 0 0 5 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 18 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Ryan Rollins 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -

* = starter