Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✗ (46.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -36 (100-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Sexton * | 30 | 7-19 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - | |
| John Collins * | 28 | 9-16 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 24 | - | |
| Walker Kessler * | 26 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 23 | - | |
| Keyonte George * | 26 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 26 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - | |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 25 | 12-18 | 7-11 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 27 | - | |
| Isaiah Collier | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - | |
| Kyle Filipowski | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - | |
| Johnny Juzang | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - | |
| Micah Potter | 6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 29 | 4-12 | 1-8 | 6-6 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 25 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - | |
| Nikola Jović * | 23 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 18 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 34 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - | |
| Kel'el Ware | 22 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 21 | 6-12 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - | |
| Keshad Johnson | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Pelle Larsson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | |
| Alec Burks | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter