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2025-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 79.0% 21.0% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.8% 59.2% - βœ“
Margin 41.0% 59.0% +2.0 βœ“ (16.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% - βœ“
Efficiency 29.2% 70.8% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.6% 70.4% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 29.5% 70.5% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 31.2% 68.8% - βœ“

Actual: Indiana Pacers +18 (126-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 37 9-14 1-3 6-6 7 7 0 1 25 - -
Devin Booker * 36 7-15 2-5 4-5 8 9 0 0 20 - -
Bradley Beal * 32 3-12 2-3 0-0 3 3 1 1 8 - -
Ryan Dunn * 29 6-11 1-4 0-0 4 1 0 1 13 - -
Mason Plumlee * 19 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 4 - -
Grayson Allen 30 5-10 3-7 0-0 4 6 0 1 13 - -
MontΓ© Morris 22 3-5 2-4 4-4 0 0 0 0 12 - -
Josh Okogie 17 2-4 0-1 2-2 3 3 1 1 6 - -
Bol Bol 11 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 2 5 - -
Damion Lee 0 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 2 - -
TyTy Washington Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 34 7-17 1-5 0-0 9 4 0 0 15 - -
Bennedict Mathurin * 34 5-10 1-3 2-2 10 4 0 0 13 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 32 8-19 5-12 6-7 5 8 2 1 27 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 30 3-3 2-2 1-2 3 7 1 0 9 - -
Myles Turner * 27 9-17 2-6 0-0 6 1 1 3 20 - -
Ben Sheppard 19 2-5 2-5 4-4 2 1 0 0 10 - -
T.J. McConnell 17 4-9 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 8 - -
Obi Toppin 16 3-6 0-2 6-6 3 2 2 0 12 - -
Jarace Walker 14 3-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 7 - -
Thomas Bryant 12 2-6 1-3 0-0 6 3 0 0 5 - -
Johnny Furphy 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter