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2025-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 35.2% 64.8% -
Bradley-Terry 44.4% 55.6% -
Margin 48.4% 51.6% +0.3 (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -
Efficiency 57.1% 42.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.9% 42.1% -
Log Adjusted 57.9% 42.1% -
Points Off/Def 51.1% 48.9% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +14 (119-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 44 16-31 10-15 11-12 6 2 0 0 53 30 -
Julius Randle * 36 6-12 0-4 5-5 7 6 0 0 17 18 -
Jaden McDaniels * 29 3-6 1-2 1-1 5 0 3 0 8 10 -
Rudy Gobert * 29 3-6 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 2 6 8 -
Mike Conley * 21 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 5 2 0 0 3 -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 28 2-8 2-7 1-2 2 3 0 2 7 6 -
Donte DiVincenzo 26 2-6 1-5 0-0 4 3 2 0 5 8 -
Naz Reid 25 2-7 2-4 3-4 3 1 0 0 9 6 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 38 15-29 4-8 6-7 6 9 1 0 40 27 -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 33 3-9 1-6 0-1 2 3 0 0 7 3 -
Tobias Harris * 33 5-13 2-5 4-4 11 4 0 0 16 18 -
Ausar Thompson * 25 5-5 0-0 0-0 10 2 6 0 10 23 -
Jalen Duren * 22 2-4 0-0 1-2 7 3 2 1 5 14 -
Malik Beasley 33 8-17 6-14 1-2 2 1 3 0 23 12 -
Isaiah Stewart 25 4-8 0-1 0-0 6 3 0 1 8 10 -
Ronald Holland II 16 2-3 0-0 4-4 2 1 0 0 8 8 -
Marcus Sasser 11 1-5 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 -2 -

* = starter