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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 38.9% 61.1% -
Bradley-Terry 52.2% 47.8% -
Margin 63.8% 36.2% -3.1 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 59.9% 40.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.0% 41.0% -
Log Adjusted 59.0% 41.0% -
Points Off/Def 52.0% 48.0% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +5 (138-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Wells * 36 11-16 8-9 0-0 5 2 0 0 30 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 34 9-21 3-9 7-10 6 5 0 1 28 - -
Desmond Bane * 34 7-14 0-4 8-8 7 8 2 1 22 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. * 25 4-6 3-5 5-5 2 5 1 0 16 - -
Brandon Clarke * 23 3-6 0-0 5-6 8 0 0 1 11 - -
Luke Kennard 31 3-10 2-5 3-3 8 9 1 0 11 - -
Zach Edey 21 4-10 0-1 1-2 7 0 0 1 9 - -
Jake LaRavia 15 2-2 1-1 1-2 3 2 1 0 6 - -
John Konchar 14 0-4 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Jay Huff 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 39 7-23 1-8 8-9 3 5 3 0 23 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 38 6-11 3-6 2-2 10 6 0 2 17 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 37 10-18 4-7 5-7 3 5 0 1 29 - -
Malik Monk * 33 11-20 6-12 3-3 2 6 1 0 31 - -
Keon Ellis * 33 5-11 2-5 1-2 4 3 3 1 13 - -
Trey Lyles 22 6-6 4-4 0-0 6 1 1 2 16 - -
Kevin Huerter 14 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 4 1 1 5 - -
Devin Carter 10 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 - -
Alex Len 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 4 - -

* = starter