Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -3 (110-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 36 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Victor Wembanyama * | 33 | 14-22 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 35 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 31 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Harrison Barnes * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Stephon Castle * | 24 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson | 26 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Julian Champagnie | 25 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Braun * | 42 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 41 | 9-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 36 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 36 | 15-36 | 3-10 | 8-9 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 22 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter