Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.3% | 27.7% | -5.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -12 (122-134). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley * | 29 | 14-21 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 34 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 28 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade * | 26 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 26 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 22 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 25 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 24 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 20 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Craig Porter Jr. | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tristan Thompson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaylon Tyson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Grimes * | 32 | 9-14 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 30 | 6-18 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 28 | 4-13 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Dereck Lively II * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 24 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 20 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jazian Gortman | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Markieff Morris | 4 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter