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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 61.8% 38.2% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% - βœ—
Margin 53.7% 46.3% -0.8 βœ“ (22.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% - βœ“
Efficiency 64.7% 35.3% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 58.9% 41.1% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 59.0% 41.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 50.7% 49.3% - βœ“

Actual: Houston Rockets -23 (86-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 34 8-16 6-12 1-2 4 2 0 2 23 - -
Jayson Tatum * 32 7-19 4-10 2-2 6 5 1 0 20 - -
Kristaps Porziņģis * 27 3-8 2-3 3-4 5 2 0 2 11 - -
Jrue Holiday * 27 5-9 2-5 2-2 4 3 1 1 14 - -
Sam Hauser * 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 32 8-10 4-6 0-0 4 2 0 1 20 - -
Luke Kornet 23 4-7 0-0 1-4 10 4 1 1 9 - -
Neemias Queta 19 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Jordan Walsh 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Drew Peterson 4 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Xavier Tillman 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 - -
Jaden Springer 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Green * 35 10-21 5-13 2-2 3 1 0 2 27 - -
Dillon Brooks * 30 4-13 2-6 0-0 2 0 1 0 10 - -
Fred VanVleet * 30 3-7 1-3 1-1 1 3 0 0 8 - -
Jeff Green * 28 2-3 1-2 2-2 5 0 1 0 7 - -
Alperen Sengun * 28 6-15 0-1 2-2 7 3 1 1 14 - -
Cam Whitmore 33 4-17 1-9 2-2 6 1 1 0 11 - -
Aaron Holiday 18 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 - -
Steven Adams 6 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Jock Landale 4 1-3 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 3 - -
Reed Sheppard 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter