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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 40.5% 59.5% -
Bradley-Terry 50.8% 49.2% -
Margin 54.1% 45.9% -0.9 (8.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% -
Efficiency 59.1% 40.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.6% 41.4% -
Log Adjusted 58.6% 41.4% -
Points Off/Def 51.9% 48.1% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors -9 (97-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tristan da Silva * 36 9-13 5-7 2-2 4 2 2 0 25 20 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 32 6-10 3-7 0-0 1 2 2 1 15 11 -
Goga Bitadze * 30 3-9 0-2 5-8 13 7 1 3 11 26 -
Caleb Houstan * 24 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 1 1 1 6 7 -
Jalen Suggs * 13 2-7 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 6 3 -
Cole Anthony 33 4-11 1-4 0-0 4 11 1 0 9 14 -
Wendell Carter Jr. 17 2-7 0-3 2-2 9 1 1 1 6 11 -
Cory Joseph 16 4-7 3-5 0-0 0 3 0 0 11 7 -
Jonathan Isaac 13 2-3 1-2 2-3 4 1 0 2 7 11 -
Jett Howard 10 1-5 1-4 2-2 0 1 0 0 5 1 -
Trevelin Queen 10 2-2 1-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 5 8 -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 37 9-19 2-4 0-2 9 3 1 0 20 14 -
Immanuel Quickley * 33 4-17 1-9 2-2 4 11 0 0 11 9 -
Ochai Agbaji * 33 6-9 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 15 10 -
Jakob Poeltl * 33 11-12 0-0 3-3 6 2 1 1 25 23 -
Gradey Dick * 29 2-11 2-7 2-2 5 1 1 0 8 4 -
Ja'Kobe Walter 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 4 -
Kelly Olynyk 14 2-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 6 7 -
Davion Mitchell 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 8 -
Jamal Shead 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 6 1 0 2 8 -
Bruce Brown 13 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter