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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 12.5% 87.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 16.6% 83.4% - ✓
Margin 12.5% 87.5% +10.7 ✓ (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 31.2% 68.8% - ✓
Efficiency 14.8% 85.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 15.6% 84.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 15.6% 84.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 22.5% 77.5% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons +4 (98-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miles Bridges * 39 5-16 3-7 7-9 9 5 2 1 20 - -
Josh Green * 35 3-8 1-5 2-2 4 2 1 0 9 - -
Mark Williams * 28 7-12 0-1 4-5 9 1 0 1 18 - -
Vasilije Micić * 24 1-8 0-5 2-3 3 5 0 0 4 - -
Seth Curry * 23 3-5 2-4 1-1 3 2 1 0 9 - -
KJ Simpson 25 3-10 2-4 0-2 3 1 2 0 8 - -
Cody Martin 20 2-5 0-0 0-2 7 2 0 2 4 - -
Tidjane Salaün 19 4-7 0-3 1-3 1 1 2 0 9 - -
Nick Richards 17 4-7 0-0 2-3 4 5 0 2 10 - -
Nick Smith Jr. 7 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 36 9-16 4-5 2-2 10 1 3 1 24 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 33 3-10 3-8 2-4 2 1 2 0 11 - -
Cade Cunningham * 28 8-20 1-3 1-2 5 5 2 1 18 - -
Jalen Duren * 24 5-9 0-0 0-0 14 1 0 3 10 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. * 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 3 2 0 0 - -
Malik Beasley 31 5-16 1-10 1-1 2 3 1 0 12 - -
Marcus Sasser 21 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 5 0 0 3 - -
Isaiah Stewart 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 7 0 1 2 5 - -
Ausar Thompson 14 2-3 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 4 - -
Ronald Holland II 10 4-8 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Paul Reed 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 2 0 2 - -

* = starter