🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 65.3% 34.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 35.3% 64.7% - ✓
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 ✓ (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% - ✓
Efficiency 39.5% 60.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 39.9% 60.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 37.6% 62.4% - ✓

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +8 (114-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Toumani Camara * 38 8-13 2-4 0-0 4 3 0 1 18 - -
Shaedon Sharpe * 36 6-16 1-5 6-8 5 1 1 0 19 - -
Anfernee Simons * 36 8-17 4-9 3-3 3 5 2 0 23 - -
Deni Avdija * 35 8-14 1-3 2-2 10 4 1 0 19 - -
Deandre Ayton * 20 3-4 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 6 - -
Scoot Henderson 32 4-7 1-2 3-4 5 8 1 1 12 - -
Donovan Clingan 17 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 4 - -
Kris Murray 16 1-3 0-2 1-2 5 1 1 1 3 - -
Dalano Banton 4 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 36 5-15 2-9 3-3 8 11 2 0 15 - -
LeBron James * 36 15-25 7-10 1-2 3 8 0 0 38 - -
Max Christie * 31 9-16 5-9 5-5 3 2 2 1 28 - -
Rui Hachimura * 23 2-6 0-4 2-2 4 3 0 0 6 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 4 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith 24 1-6 1-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 - -
Cam Reddish 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 1 2 - -
Christian Koloko 18 4-8 0-0 0-0 8 3 1 0 8 - -
Shake Milton 16 2-5 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Dalton Knecht 16 2-6 0-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter