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2025-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 46.7% 53.3% -
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% -
Margin 55.0% 45.0% -1.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% -
Efficiency 64.0% 36.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.9% 43.1% -
Log Adjusted 56.9% 43.1% -
Points Off/Def 49.7% 50.3% -

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -3 (115-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 38 13-27 6-17 1-2 8 9 3 0 33 - -
Jrue Holiday * 38 4-9 3-7 0-0 3 8 2 0 11 - -
Derrick White * 36 10-20 5-10 1-1 2 2 0 2 26 - -
Al Horford * 34 4-8 1-5 0-0 5 4 0 2 9 - -
Sam Hauser * 27 5-11 5-11 0-0 3 2 0 0 15 - -
Payton Pritchard 24 3-8 2-6 1-2 2 4 1 0 9 - -
Neemias Queta 21 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 8 - -
Luke Kornet 11 3-3 0-0 1-1 3 1 1 0 7 - -
Jordan Walsh 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 39 9-16 5-7 4-4 8 7 1 0 27 - -
Anthony Edwards * 36 5-16 2-9 3-4 4 6 0 0 15 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 35 6-12 4-8 3-3 8 2 0 0 19 - -
Rudy Gobert * 27 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 6 - -
Mike Conley * 18 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 5 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 28 3-5 3-5 3-3 3 3 0 0 12 - -
Naz Reid 25 6-11 4-5 4-4 5 3 0 0 20 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 16 1-2 1-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Josh Minott 11 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 2 7 - -

* = starter