Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.1% | 78.9% | +7.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +19 (139-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 31 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - | |
| Dyson Daniels * | 30 | 4-17 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Trae Young * | 30 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 10-12 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 28 | - | |
| Garrison Mathews * | 28 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - | |
| Vít Krejčí | 28 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter | 26 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 24 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - | |
| David Roddy | 17 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 31 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 29 | 8-16 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 17 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 40 | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 25 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 23 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 24 | 8-14 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 30 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 24 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Spencer Jones | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter