Model Predictions
| Model | New Orleans Pelicans | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.1% | 76.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +11 (119-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 39 | 11-24 | 5-15 | 7-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 38 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 34 | 9-16 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Yves Missi * | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 20 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brandon Boston | 20 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 40 | 11-22 | 5-12 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 31 | 9-14 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 25 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jimmy Butler * | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jović | 33 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 23 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kel'el Ware | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - |
* = starter