🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 63.0% 37.0% -
Bradley-Terry 54.8% 45.2% -
Margin 70.6% 29.4% -4.8 (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.0% 44.0% -
Efficiency 76.4% 23.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.9% 28.1% -
Log Adjusted 72.1% 27.9% -
Points Off/Def 61.8% 38.2% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -12 (110-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 32 8-20 6-13 4-5 4 4 0 0 26 - -
Darius Garland * 32 5-16 2-8 2-2 2 14 2 1 14 - -
Evan Mobley * 31 8-14 2-4 2-2 6 1 1 1 20 - -
Jarrett Allen * 31 12-14 0-0 3-4 14 1 1 3 27 - -
Dean Wade * 24 1-4 0-3 1-1 9 2 0 0 3 - -
Max Strus 26 5-9 4-8 1-1 3 4 0 2 15 - -
Caris LeVert 22 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 1 3 - -
Georges Niang 18 3-5 2-3 1-2 3 1 0 0 9 - -
Ty Jerome 13 2-6 1-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 5 - -
Sam Merrill 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Austin Reaves * 37 11-20 1-4 12-13 9 10 1 0 35 - -
Anthony Davis * 37 12-23 2-4 2-2 13 4 3 2 28 - -
LeBron James * 34 9-17 3-6 2-2 4 7 0 1 23 - -
Rui Hachimura * 30 3-10 0-3 1-2 5 0 1 0 7 - -
Max Christie * 28 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 5 - -
Dalton Knecht 22 2-8 0-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith 20 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Cam Reddish 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 - -
Shake Milton 10 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -

* = starter