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2025-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 13.3% 86.7% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 43.0% 57.0% - βœ—
Margin 53.1% 46.9% -0.7 βœ“ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% - βœ“
Efficiency 67.8% 32.2% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 66.0% 34.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 66.0% 34.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 57.5% 42.5% - βœ“

Actual: Phoenix Suns -5 (112-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 37 12-24 4-9 10-17 12 4 2 1 38 - -
Desmond Bane * 36 13-25 4-8 1-3 5 7 0 1 31 - -
John Konchar * 35 3-7 0-2 1-1 12 4 1 1 7 - -
Jaylen Wells * 31 3-12 2-8 3-4 6 2 1 0 11 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. * 21 0-5 0-3 2-2 2 3 1 2 2 - -
Luke Kennard 28 5-8 3-6 4-4 7 4 2 0 17 - -
Jay Huff 18 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 8 - -
Cam Spencer 16 1-4 0-3 0-0 4 3 2 0 2 - -
Colin Castleton 12 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 38 11-19 2-5 5-7 10 6 1 2 29 - -
Devin Booker * 30 4-20 2-8 6-6 4 9 1 0 16 - -
Tyus Jones * 30 7-15 2-5 5-6 4 2 3 0 21 - -
Mason Plumlee * 27 6-6 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 3 12 - -
Bradley Beal * 12 1-5 0-1 1-2 1 2 1 0 3 - -
Ryan Dunn 34 3-7 2-5 0-0 9 3 2 2 8 - -
Josh Okogie 27 4-7 1-4 0-1 2 0 0 1 9 - -
MontΓ© Morris 19 5-8 0-1 2-3 3 2 1 0 12 - -
Oso Ighodaro 17 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 2 - -
Damion Lee 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter