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2025-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 35.5% 64.5% -
Bradley-Terry 23.5% 76.5% -
Margin 17.6% 82.4% +8.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.6% 58.4% -
Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Log Adjusted 26.4% 73.6% -
Points Off/Def 29.5% 70.5% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +8 (113-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 38 6-12 4-7 4-4 7 2 0 1 20 - -
Rudy Gobert * 31 3-6 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 2 8 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 27 3-8 1-5 0-0 6 0 0 0 7 - -
Julius Randle * 27 5-12 1-4 0-0 6 6 0 1 11 - -
Mike Conley * 23 5-10 4-7 2-2 1 4 2 0 16 - -
Naz Reid 32 8-14 1-5 2-2 8 1 1 3 19 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 29 3-10 2-7 2-2 4 5 0 0 10 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 19 3-3 2-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Josh Minott 9 3-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 6 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Williams * 37 6-12 1-4 1-4 7 7 3 0 14 - -
Luguentz Dort * 34 5-12 4-7 0-0 6 2 0 0 14 - -
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * 34 15-23 3-5 7-9 3 2 4 0 40 - -
Cason Wallace * 32 1-8 0-4 3-4 2 7 4 0 5 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 32 5-10 0-1 5-5 10 4 1 2 15 - -
Ajay Mitchell 17 1-4 0-3 1-1 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Kenrich Williams 14 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 5 - -
Aaron Wiggins 13 3-6 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 7 - -
Isaiah Joe 12 3-6 1-4 0-0 0 1 1 0 7 - -
Jaylin Williams 10 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -

* = starter