Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +10 (110-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 38 | 8-20 | 4-9 | 8-10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 35 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 11-12 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes * | 32 | 4-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy * | 20 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 29 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams | 19 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jazian Gortman | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray * | 36 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Malik Monk * | 35 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 35 | 13-23 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Domantas Sabonis * | 33 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 25 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Trey Lyles | 21 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Keon Ellis | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Huerter | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Alex Len | 7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaac Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Colby Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Crawford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter