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2024-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 40.2% 59.8% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.5% 48.5% - βœ“
Margin 54.3% 45.7% -0.9 βœ“ (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 51.8% 48.2% - βœ“
Efficiency 66.2% 33.8% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 61.0% 39.0% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 61.0% 39.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 53.4% 46.6% - βœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors -18 (95-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 28 10-17 3-8 2-4 3 8 2 0 25 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 27 9-19 5-11 0-0 3 4 0 0 23 - -
Dean Wade * 25 4-7 2-5 0-0 13 0 1 2 10 - -
Evan Mobley * 24 2-6 1-4 2-2 7 1 1 2 7 - -
Jarrett Allen * 24 6-9 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 2 12 - -
Caris LeVert 21 3-9 2-4 1-2 1 1 2 0 9 - -
Georges Niang 19 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 5 1 0 3 - -
Ty Jerome 19 3-10 2-5 2-2 2 4 1 0 10 - -
Max Strus 18 1-6 1-5 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 - -
Sam Merrill 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
Jaylon Tyson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Craig Porter Jr. 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Tristan Thompson 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
JT Thor 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis SchrΓΆder * 30 4-11 2-4 2-2 4 3 0 0 12 - -
Stephen Curry * 29 4-14 3-11 0-0 2 3 1 1 11 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 28 6-14 0-0 4-4 16 2 0 2 16 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 27 5-9 1-5 0-0 3 2 0 2 11 - -
Draymond Green * 25 1-10 0-2 0-2 8 5 1 2 2 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 31 4-15 0-2 10-14 10 2 1 1 18 - -
Moses Moody 20 7-8 3-4 2-2 2 1 1 0 19 - -
Buddy Hield 18 1-8 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Lindy Waters III 14 0-6 0-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Gui Santos 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Quinten Post 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Pat Spencer 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 - -

* = starter