Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.8% | 14.2% | -9.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz -11 (121-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokić * | 38 | 14-33 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 37 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 36 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 34 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 32 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 26 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walker Kessler * | 37 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 32 | 5-13 | 2-9 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton * | 28 | 9-19 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Keyonte George * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Johnny Juzang * | 22 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson | 27 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Brice Sensabaugh | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cody Williams | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Collier | 17 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kyle Filipowski | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter