Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | β |
| Margin | 44.7% | 55.3% | +1.2 | β (30.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | β |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -29 (107-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson * | 33 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 32 | 10-21 | 7-13 | 7-7 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 34 | - | - | |
| VΓt KrejΔΓ * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 26 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 22 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter | 22 | 8-11 | 2-3 | 4-7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 18 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Keaton Wallace | 15 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| RJ Barrett * | 30 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gradey Dick * | 24 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji * | 17 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jamal Shead | 25 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 19 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ja'Kobe Walter | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jamison Battle | 8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Mogbo | 6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter