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2024-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% -
Bradley-Terry 27.4% 72.6% -
Margin 14.0% 86.0% +10.0 (19.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -
Efficiency 22.7% 77.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.8% 70.2% -
Log Adjusted 29.7% 70.3% -
Points Off/Def 32.4% 67.6% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -9 (114-123). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 36 11-19 1-6 8-9 6 7 1 0 31 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 33 6-12 1-1 4-5 8 8 0 1 17 - -
Myles Turner * 32 5-8 0-1 3-4 6 3 0 0 13 - -
Pascal Siakam * 30 6-11 1-2 4-4 8 6 3 1 17 - -
Bennedict Mathurin * 29 6-8 1-1 1-1 5 1 0 0 14 - -
Jarace Walker 25 4-8 3-5 1-2 5 0 0 0 12 - -
Ben Sheppard 21 3-8 2-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Thomas Bryant 15 4-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 8 - -
T.J. McConnell 13 1-6 0-1 1-2 5 1 1 0 3 - -
Johnny Furphy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Quenton Jackson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 41 8-17 2-10 4-5 9 6 3 1 22 - -
Derrick White * 38 7-15 3-11 0-0 3 3 0 1 17 - -
Jaylen Brown * 36 13-21 2-6 3-5 4 6 1 0 31 - -
Al Horford * 30 2-12 1-10 0-0 5 3 0 0 5 - -
Sam Hauser * 19 3-6 3-6 0-0 0 3 1 0 9 - -
Payton Pritchard 27 7-13 5-8 2-2 4 3 0 0 21 - -
Jordan Walsh 19 0-2 0-1 0-2 3 0 1 1 0 - -
Luke Kornet 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 3 1 - -
Neemias Queta 5 2-2 0-0 2-3 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Drew Peterson 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Xavier Tillman 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jaden Springer 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter