Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +4 (126-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 38 | 16-26 | 5-12 | 9-9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 46 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 35 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 34 | 5-17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber * | 32 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 28 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 27 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 16 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jazian Gortman | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 41 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 39 | 8-18 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 38 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 35 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 31 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 9-11 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Scoot Henderson | 28 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Donovan Clingan | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kris Murray | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rayan Rupert | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter