Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +13 (134-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 26 | 7-18 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Tobias Harris * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 20 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 18 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ausar Thompson | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ronald Holland II | 19 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 18 | 5-11 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Marcus Sasser | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Simone Fontecchio | 13 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Paul Reed | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 39 | 12-21 | 4-7 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 34 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 37 | 11-17 | 4-5 | 11-14 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 33 | 9-14 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 30 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 22 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter