🐻⬇️🏀

Phoenix Suns 105
@
Golden State Warriors 109
2024-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Phoenix Suns Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 48.5% 51.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% - ✓
Margin 26.1% 73.9% +5.7 ✓ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% - ✓
Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 26.7% 73.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 26.7% 73.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 29.5% 70.5% - ✓

Actual: Golden State Warriors +4 (109-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 39 12-24 4-11 0-0 5 2 1 2 28 - -
Kevin Durant * 37 10-24 1-5 10-12 6 3 0 4 31 - -
Tyus Jones * 31 3-11 2-6 0-0 5 6 0 0 8 - -
Ryan Dunn * 26 6-12 1-6 2-2 4 1 0 2 15 - -
Mason Plumlee * 26 0-0 0-0 2-2 9 6 1 1 2 - -
Josh Okogie 30 4-8 1-2 2-4 9 0 2 2 11 - -
Oso Ighodaro 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 0 2 - -
Monté Morris 16 3-6 0-2 2-2 1 2 1 0 8 - -
Royce O'Neale 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 39 3-12 1-6 0-0 7 3 1 2 7 - -
Stephen Curry * 35 9-22 4-13 0-0 6 6 1 0 22 - -
Draymond Green * 34 6-9 3-5 1-1 8 7 2 1 16 - -
Dennis Schröder * 33 4-13 1-7 2-2 3 3 0 0 11 - -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 23 6-11 0-0 4-4 10 2 1 4 16 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 34 12-20 2-5 8-12 9 3 1 0 34 - -
Buddy Hield 14 0-7 0-7 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Lindy Waters III 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 - -
Brandin Podziemski 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter