Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.9% | 60.1% | +2.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns -9 (89-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyrie Irving * | 39 | 6-21 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford * | 28 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 19 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Quentin Grimes | 28 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 26 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 22 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Olivier-Maxence Prosper | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jazian Gortman | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kessler Edwards | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 38 | 5-18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kevin Durant * | 37 | 11-19 | 3-4 | 10-12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ryan Dunn * | 21 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkić * | 13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Royce O'Neale | 30 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 21 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Monté Morris | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Oso Ighodaro | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jalen Bridges | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter