Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.8% | 47.2% | -0.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -14 (135-149). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Mobley * | 31 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 31 | 10-18 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 30 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 30 | 10-17 | 6-12 | 7-7 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Dean Wade * | 25 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Max Strus | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 23 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Sam Merrill | 18 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Georges Niang | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 7 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaylon Tyson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 40 | 10-20 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokić * | 35 | 12-19 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 31 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 31 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook * | 29 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 25 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Julian Strawther | 23 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Hunter Tyson | 6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Spencer Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Pickett | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter