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2024-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 56.7% 43.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% - ✗
Margin 40.5% 59.5% +2.1 ✗ (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - ✗
Efficiency 47.8% 52.2% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 49.1% 50.9% - ✗
Log Adjusted 49.1% 50.9% - ✗
Points Off/Def 44.2% 55.8% - ✗

Actual: Houston Rockets -1 (112-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 36 10-16 5-6 2-2 8 8 0 1 27 - -
Anthony Edwards * 35 9-17 4-8 2-3 5 3 0 1 24 - -
Rudy Gobert * 28 3-5 0-0 1-6 9 0 0 2 7 - -
Mike Conley * 23 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 20 1-6 0-2 0-0 5 1 3 0 2 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 36 7-12 6-10 2-2 4 4 2 1 22 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 29 4-9 3-7 0-0 4 5 0 0 11 - -
Naz Reid 24 6-12 1-5 1-3 2 1 1 1 14 - -
Josh Minott 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jabari Smith Jr. * 42 5-12 2-8 0-0 7 1 0 1 12 - -
Alperen Sengun * 40 16-25 0-1 6-10 12 1 1 0 38 - -
Amen Thompson * 38 9-12 0-1 2-2 11 1 1 1 20 - -
Jalen Green * 38 5-15 3-6 1-2 2 6 0 0 14 - -
Fred VanVleet * 38 6-16 5-10 1-3 6 7 0 1 18 - -
Jae'Sean Tate 16 3-6 0-1 0-0 6 0 2 0 6 - -
Cam Whitmore 11 1-5 0-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Aaron Holiday 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 - -
Reed Sheppard 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Steven Adams 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -

* = starter