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2024-12-28

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Brooklyn Nets Spread Result
Elo 85.8% 14.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 66.5% 33.5% - ✓
Margin 70.9% 29.1% -4.9 ✓ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.7% 46.3% - ✓
Efficiency 63.8% 36.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 62.3% 37.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 62.3% 37.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 53.0% 47.0% - ✓

Actual: Brooklyn Nets -9 (87-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Victor Wembanyama * 35 7-14 3-6 2-2 7 4 0 6 19 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 33 3-7 0-1 6-8 14 3 0 1 12 - -
Devin Vassell * 33 4-16 2-5 0-0 6 5 3 1 10 - -
Chris Paul * 31 2-6 0-3 1-2 2 5 0 0 5 - -
Harrison Barnes * 22 3-7 0-2 3-4 2 0 1 0 9 - -
Keldon Johnson 27 5-11 1-2 4-4 6 1 2 0 15 - -
Julian Champagnie 20 6-9 5-7 1-1 2 1 2 0 18 - -
Stephon Castle 18 2-7 1-2 1-4 2 1 1 0 6 - -
Tre Jones 16 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 6 1 0 2 - -

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Wilson * 39 4-13 3-6 0-0 2 3 0 0 11 - -
Keon Johnson * 36 10-20 4-10 1-2 4 3 1 1 25 - -
Shake Milton * 34 5-9 3-6 3-4 3 12 1 0 16 - -
Nic Claxton * 32 5-13 0-2 1-1 10 0 3 2 11 - -
Dorian Finney-Smith * 27 1-7 0-4 0-1 9 0 0 0 2 - -
Noah Clowney 24 2-6 1-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 5 - -
Tyrese Martin 19 6-14 1-7 0-0 6 0 1 0 13 - -
Reece Beekman 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Day'Ron Sharpe 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 4 - -

* = starter