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2024-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% -
Bradley-Terry 27.4% 72.6% -
Margin 14.0% 86.0% +10.0 (27.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -
Efficiency 22.7% 77.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.8% 70.2% -
Log Adjusted 29.7% 70.3% -
Points Off/Def 32.4% 67.6% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +37 (142-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bennedict Mathurin * 31 6-13 1-2 5-6 6 2 0 0 18 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 29 6-13 3-8 4-4 4 9 0 0 19 - -
Pascal Siakam * 23 5-11 3-6 1-2 9 1 1 0 14 - -
Myles Turner * 22 3-7 1-4 1-2 5 0 0 0 8 - -
Ben Sheppard * 19 1-7 0-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Jarace Walker 28 5-10 1-4 4-6 0 5 2 0 15 - -
Johnny Furphy 23 0-6 0-4 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 - -
T.J. McConnell 19 4-11 0-2 0-0 0 4 0 0 8 - -
Thomas Bryant 18 5-7 2-4 0-0 7 0 1 1 12 - -
Quenton Jackson 8 0-0 0-0 3-4 0 3 0 0 3 - -
Enrique Freeman 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
James Johnson 6 2-3 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 1 4 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 37 16-24 6-11 6-6 5 3 4 0 44 - -
Jayson Tatum * 31 7-15 3-10 5-6 13 4 3 0 22 - -
Derrick White * 29 3-8 3-8 0-0 3 6 0 2 9 - -
Al Horford * 20 4-8 3-6 2-2 5 2 0 1 13 - -
Sam Hauser * 19 2-8 0-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Payton Pritchard 31 7-16 4-10 0-0 8 10 1 1 18 - -
Jordan Walsh 20 2-3 2-3 3-4 5 2 0 1 9 - -
Luke Kornet 18 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 3 - -
Neemias Queta 9 2-3 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 1 6 - -
Drew Peterson 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Jaden Springer 7 0-0 0-0 6-6 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Xavier Tillman 5 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter