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2024-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 77.4% 22.6% -
Bradley-Terry 60.8% 39.2% -
Margin 69.8% 30.2% -4.6 (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% -
Efficiency 55.2% 44.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 54.3% 45.7% -
Log Adjusted 54.3% 45.7% -
Points Off/Def 47.8% 52.2% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -1 (113-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 38 9-24 4-11 11-12 4 10 0 0 33 - -
Jaden Ivey * 32 7-13 3-7 2-3 6 0 0 1 19 - -
Jalen Duren * 31 5-8 0-0 3-4 10 3 2 2 13 - -
Tobias Harris * 27 1-7 0-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Tim Hardaway Jr. * 23 2-8 2-7 0-0 4 3 0 0 6 - -
Malik Beasley 27 7-16 6-11 2-2 2 2 0 0 22 - -
Ausar Thompson 18 3-5 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 7 - -
Simone Fontecchio 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 - -
Paul Reed 12 3-3 1-1 0-0 3 2 2 1 7 - -
Marcus Sasser 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 - -
Ronald Holland II 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 38 11-25 2-7 2-3 6 4 0 2 26 - -
Keegan Murray * 37 4-11 1-7 2-2 12 2 1 1 11 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 36 7-13 1-3 4-6 3 4 0 0 19 - -
Malik Monk * 29 5-11 3-7 2-2 1 0 1 0 15 - -
Alex Len * 22 1-1 0-0 2-2 6 4 0 2 4 - -
Trey Lyles 25 5-8 4-7 6-8 8 0 0 0 20 - -
Kevin Huerter 23 2-7 2-6 2-2 5 3 1 1 8 - -
Keon Ellis 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Colby Jones 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Isaac Jones 3 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter