Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.8% | 11.2% | -11.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -17 (111-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 29 | 12-21 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 25 | 8-15 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Cam Whitmore | 27 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Reed Sheppard | 18 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 17 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Herbert Jones * | 30 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 29 | 7-16 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Yves Missi * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 26 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 26 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Javonte Green | 19 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Brandon Boston | 19 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hawkins | 17 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 3-5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 12 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Antonio Reeves | 8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter