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2024-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 63.4% 36.6% -
Bradley-Terry 36.5% 63.5% -
Margin 24.6% 75.4% +6.1 (22.9 off)
Pythagorean 37.6% 62.4% -
Efficiency 23.0% 77.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.9% 77.1% -
Log Adjusted 22.9% 77.1% -
Points Off/Def 26.6% 73.4% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +29 (155-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 35 10-20 2-5 4-4 6 8 1 0 26 - -
RJ Barrett * 33 10-18 2-5 5-7 9 10 0 0 27 - -
Ochai Agbaji * 25 4-11 1-6 1-2 0 2 0 0 10 - -
Gradey Dick * 24 6-12 1-4 1-1 3 3 2 0 14 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 23 6-9 2-4 0-0 5 5 0 0 14 - -
Davion Mitchell 26 2-6 2-5 0-0 0 5 2 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher 21 6-12 2-5 1-1 5 0 0 0 15 - -
Jonathan Mogbo 17 1-7 0-1 0-0 6 1 2 3 2 - -
Jamison Battle 16 2-6 1-5 1-1 0 3 1 0 6 - -
A.J. Lawson 5 2-3 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Garrett Temple 5 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Ulrich Chomche 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 31 9-17 1-3 2-2 11 6 0 3 21 - -
Zach Edey * 27 9-15 1-5 2-5 16 2 0 2 21 - -
Ja Morant * 24 5-10 1-3 4-4 2 9 0 0 15 - -
Jaylen Wells * 23 6-12 5-10 0-0 1 1 1 0 17 - -
Desmond Bane * 23 8-13 3-6 0-0 5 2 0 1 19 - -
Luke Kennard 24 4-9 3-8 4-4 0 8 1 0 15 - -
Jake LaRavia 21 3-9 0-2 2-4 9 3 1 0 8 - -
Brandon Clarke 20 4-6 0-0 3-5 9 0 0 1 11 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 20 5-12 1-5 4-5 2 3 4 0 15 - -
John Konchar 16 3-3 3-3 0-0 5 2 1 1 9 - -
Santi Aldama 3 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Cam Spencer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter